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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

FC Twente

FCT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fortuna Sittard17%
Draw25%
FC Twente58%

Expected goals

0.81 – 1.66

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.6%
  • 0–211.4%
  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Twente will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

36%Possession61%
31%Territory53%
4%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.12
7.8%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 4 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.