Eredivisie · Matchweek 8
Telstar
TEL
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Telstar49%
Draw29%
ADO Den Haag23%
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.91
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–010.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 2–19.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession43%
35%Territory36%
33%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.04
7.2%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Telstar, 3 for ADO Den Haag. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Telstar
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.