Eredivisie · Matchweek 8
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSV Eindhoven62%
Draw22%
SC Heerenveen16%
Expected goals
2.01 – 0.97
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.8%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
63%Possession57%
54%Territory45%
13%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSV Eindhoven, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.