Eredivisie · Matchweek 8
Excelsior
EXC
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior40%
Draw29%
FC Groningen31%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.13
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Groningen will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
43%Possession51%
40%Territory45%
30%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.07
8.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Excelsior, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.