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Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

Feyenoord

FEY

AZ Alkmaar

AZA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Feyenoord52%
Draw26%
AZ Alkmaar21%

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.97

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.7%
  • 1111.8%
  • 219.6%
  • 209.5%
  • 008.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Feyenoord get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

56%Possession58%
56%Territory55%
31%From set plays15%
0.11Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Feyenoord, 3 for AZ Alkmaar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.