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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

Sparta Rotterdam

SPA

SC Heerenveen

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sparta Rotterdam33%
Draw30%
SC Heerenveen37%

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.25

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.

45%Possession57%
37%Territory45%
27%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sparta Rotterdam, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.