Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
FC Groningen
FCG
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen58%
Draw24%
PEC Zwolle18%
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.93
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession45%
45%Territory28%
13%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.11
6.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.