Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
FC Twente
FCT
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Twente38%
Draw28%
PSV Eindhoven34%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.30
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession63%
53%Territory54%
20%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Twente, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.