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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

AZ Alkmaar

AZA

Telstar

TEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AZ Alkmaar60%
Draw24%
Telstar16%

Expected goals

1.80 – 0.86

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 2–011.2%
  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

58%Possession40%
55%Territory35%
15%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 4 for Telstar. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.