Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Go Ahead Eagles
GOA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen46%
Draw25%
Go Ahead Eagles29%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.30
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Go Ahead Eagles will not mind.
61%Possession52%
42%Territory39%
17%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.15
3.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for Go Ahead Eagles. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 54 matches, not the full season.