Serie A · Matchweek 25
Udinese
UDI
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese39%
Draw29%
Parma31%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.14
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–110.0%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
55%Possession42%
46%Territory36%
38%From set plays34%
0.06Chance quality0.10
4.0%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Udinese, 3 for Parma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 99 matches, not the full season.