Serie A · Matchweek 25
Sassuolo
SAS
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sassuolo18%
Draw20%
Roma62%
Expected goals
1.19 – 2.25
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.7%
- 0–28.3%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
48%Possession61%
37%Territory44%
17%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sassuolo, 4 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.