Serie A · Matchweek 25
Lecce
LEC
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lecce34%
Draw26%
Frosinone40%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.60
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frosinone will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
42%Possession51%
41%Territory48%
31%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lecce, 4 for Frosinone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.