Serie A · Matchweek 25
Juventus
JUV
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus55%
Draw26%
Bologna19%
Expected goals
1.58 – 0.84
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–010.8%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
57%Possession43%
44%Territory39%
46%From set plays34%
0.08Chance quality0.17
3.3%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juventus, 4 for Bologna.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.