Serie A · Matchweek 25
Fiorentina
FIO
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fiorentina14%
Draw19%
Inter67%
Expected goals
1.00 – 2.30
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–29.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–18.5%
- 1–37.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.
45%Possession63%
40%Territory56%
24%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.13
4.6%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fiorentina, 4 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fiorentina
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.