Serie A · Matchweek 25
Milan
MIL
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan60%
Draw23%
Genoa17%
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.89
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
56%Possession41%
31%Territory34%
24%From set plays14%
0.18Chance quality0.07
4.3%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Milan, 4 for Genoa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.