Serie A · Matchweek 24
Torino
TOR
Sassuolo
SAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torino52%
Draw24%
Sassuolo24%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.19
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–08.0%
- 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
33%Territory37%
18%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Torino, 4 for Sassuolo.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 99 matches, not the full season.