Serie A · Matchweek 24
Napoli
NAP
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Napoli36%
Draw32%
Juventus33%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.06
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 0–012.9%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–112.0%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession57%
37%Territory44%
28%From set plays46%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Napoli, 4 for Juventus.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.