Serie A · Matchweek 24
Cagliari
CAG
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cagliari25%
Draw28%
Lazio47%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.48
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–112.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–09.1%
- 0–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lazio will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
44%Possession61%
32%Territory49%
19%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cagliari, 4 for Lazio.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.