Serie A · Matchweek 24
Roma
ROM
Parma
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma70%
Draw19%
Parma11%
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.76
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.7%
- 1–012.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
61%Possession42%
44%Territory36%
20%From set plays34%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 3 for Parma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.