Serie A · Matchweek 23
Venezia
VEN
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Venezia34%
Draw31%
Genoa35%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.14
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 0–112.1%
- 0–012.1%
- 1–011.8%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
38%Possession41%
42%Territory34%
13%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Venezia, 4 for Genoa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.