Serie A · Matchweek 23
Parma
PAR
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma28%
Draw27%
Frosinone45%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.51
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–08.1%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frosinone will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
42%Possession51%
36%Territory48%
34%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 4 for Frosinone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.