Serie A · Matchweek 23
Lecce
LEC
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lecce24%
Draw27%
Napoli50%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.59
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.8%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Napoli will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
42%Possession57%
41%Territory37%
31%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lecce, 4 for Napoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.