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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Serie A · Matchweek 23

Juventus

JUV

Sassuolo

SAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Juventus69%
Draw20%
Sassuolo11%

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.74

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.0%
  • 2–012.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 3–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

57%Possession50%
44%Territory36%
46%From set plays13%
0.08Chance quality0.14
3.3%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juventus, 4 for Sassuolo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 99 matches, not the full season.