Serie A · Matchweek 23
Inter
INT
Cagliari
CAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Inter76%
Draw15%
Cagliari9%
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.82
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.4%
- 3–09.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
63%Possession44%
56%Territory32%
24%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.13
3.9%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter, 4 for Cagliari.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 99 matches, not the full season.