Serie A · Matchweek 23
Fiorentina
FIO
Udinese
UDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fiorentina53%
Draw24%
Udinese23%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.19
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese will have the ball; Fiorentina will not mind.
45%Possession55%
40%Territory46%
24%From set plays38%
0.07Chance quality0.06
4.6%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fiorentina, 5 for Udinese. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fiorentina
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.