Serie A · Matchweek 23
Bologna
BOL
Milan
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna32%
Draw26%
Milan42%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.60
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
43%Possession56%
39%Territory31%
34%From set plays24%
0.17Chance quality0.18
4.9%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 4 for Milan.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.