Serie A · Matchweek 23
Roma
ROM
Torino
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma62%
Draw21%
Torino17%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.05
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–09.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Torino will not mind.
61%Possession44%
44%Territory31%
20%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.6%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 5 for Torino.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.