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Serie A · Matchweek 23

Roma

ROM

Torino

TOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Roma62%
Draw21%
Torino17%

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.05

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Roma will have the ball; Torino will not mind.

61%Possession44%
44%Territory31%
20%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.6%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 5 for Torino.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.