Serie A · Matchweek 22
Udinese
UDI
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese27%
Draw25%
Bologna48%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.70
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
55%Possession43%
46%Territory39%
38%From set plays34%
0.06Chance quality0.17
4.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Udinese, 4 for Bologna.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.