Serie A · Matchweek 22
Torino
TOR
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torino40%
Draw25%
Frosinone35%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.51
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession51%
31%Territory48%
25%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Torino, 4 for Frosinone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.