Serie A · Matchweek 22
Monza
MON
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza20%
Draw22%
Roma58%
Expected goals
1.21 – 2.08
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.5%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Monza will not mind.
43%Possession61%
37%Territory44%
22%From set plays20%
0.16Chance quality0.13
4.7%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Monza, 4 for Roma.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.