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Serie A · Matchweek 22

Lazio

LAZ

Venezia

VEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lazio66%
Draw22%
Venezia12%

Expected goals

1.91 – 0.73

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.2%
  • 2–013.0%
  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 3–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lazio will have the ball; Venezia will not mind.

61%Possession38%
49%Territory42%
20%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lazio, 4 for Venezia.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 99 matches, not the full season.