Serie A · Matchweek 22
Milan
MIL
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan36%
Draw30%
Juventus34%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.20
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–110.6%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession57%
31%Territory44%
24%From set plays46%
0.18Chance quality0.08
4.3%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Milan, 4 for Juventus.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.