Serie A · Matchweek 21
Monza
MON
Lazio
LAZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza22%
Draw25%
Lazio53%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.69
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.6%
- 1–111.5%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lazio will have the ball; Monza will not mind.
43%Possession61%
37%Territory49%
22%From set plays20%
0.16Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Monza, 4 for Lazio.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.