Serie A · Matchweek 21
Juventus
JUV
Cagliari
CAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus60%
Draw25%
Cagliari15%
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.75
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.3%
- 2–012.2%
- 1–111.0%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Cagliari will not mind.
57%Possession44%
44%Territory32%
46%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juventus, 4 for Cagliari.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.