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Serie A · Matchweek 21

Inter

INT

Venezia

VEN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter81%
Draw13%
Venezia6%

Expected goals

2.80 – 0.73

Over 2.5

68%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.8%
  • 3–010.6%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Inter will have the ball; Venezia will not mind.

63%Possession43%
56%Territory43%
24%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter, 5 for Venezia.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.