Serie A · Matchweek 21
Bologna
BOL
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bologna39%
Draw25%
Atalanta36%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.53
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.4%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bologna get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession44%
39%Territory39%
34%From set plays15%
0.17Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bologna, 4 for Atalanta.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.