Serie A · Matchweek 21
Roma
ROM
Udinese
UDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Roma75%
Draw15%
Udinese9%
Expected goals
2.69 – 0.92
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 3–08.7%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
61%Possession55%
44%Territory46%
20%From set plays38%
0.13Chance quality0.06
3.6%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Roma, 5 for Udinese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.