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Serie A · Matchweek 20

Venezia

VEN

Frosinone

FRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Venezia35%
Draw26%
Frosinone39%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.54

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 128.5%
  • 218.0%
  • 018.0%
  • 107.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Venezia will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.

55%Possession45%
40%Territory44%
18%From set plays38%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Venezia, 3 for Frosinone. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.