Serie A · Matchweek 20
Sassuolo
SAS
Monza
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sassuolo46%
Draw25%
Monza28%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.31
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monza will have the ball; Sassuolo will not mind.
42%Possession55%
40%Territory45%
13%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sassuolo, 3 for Monza. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.