Serie A · Matchweek 20
Parma
PAR
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma11%
Draw18%
Inter71%
Expected goals
0.85 – 2.31
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–38.4%
- 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
41%Possession65%
27%Territory48%
27%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 3 for Inter. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.