Serie A · Matchweek 20
Parma
PAR
Inter
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma11%
Draw20%
Inter70%
Expected goals
0.73 – 2.10
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–213.1%
- 0–113.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 1–18.9%
- 0–38.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Inter will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
36%Possession63%
33%Territory56%
34%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.13
7.6%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Parma, 4 for Inter.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.