Serie A · Matchweek 20
Lecce
LEC
Udinese
UDI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lecce51%
Draw25%
Udinese24%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.15
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese will have the ball; Lecce will not mind.
42%Possession53%
41%Territory45%
31%From set plays45%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lecce, 4 for Udinese.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.