Serie A · Matchweek 20
Lazio
LAZ
Bologna
BOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lazio53%
Draw26%
Bologna21%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.97
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.4%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lazio will have the ball; Bologna will not mind.
61%Possession43%
49%Territory39%
20%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.17
3.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Lazio, 4 for Bologna.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.