Serie A · Matchweek 20
Juventus
JUV
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus68%
Draw20%
Genoa12%
Expected goals
2.03 – 0.74
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 2–012.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
55%Possession45%
58%Territory31%
30%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.08
3.0%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Juventus, 3 for Genoa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Juventus
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.