Serie A · Matchweek 20
Juventus
JUV
Genoa
GEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Juventus59%
Draw27%
Genoa14%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.64
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
38%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–017.9%
- 2–013.0%
- 0–012.3%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Juventus will have the ball; Genoa will not mind.
57%Possession41%
44%Territory34%
46%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.07
3.3%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Juventus, 4 for Genoa.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 99 matches, not the full season.