Serie A · Matchweek 20
Atalanta
ATA
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta34%
Draw24%
Roma42%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.79
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
44%Possession61%
39%Territory44%
15%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atalanta, 4 for Roma.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.