Serie A · Matchweek 20
Atalanta
ATA
Roma
ROM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta25%
Draw27%
Roma48%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.59
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.2%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Roma will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
46%Possession59%
42%Territory48%
9%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atalanta, 3 for Roma. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.