Serie A · Matchweek 20
Milan
MIL
Torino
TOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Milan59%
Draw22%
Torino19%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.08
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Milan will have the ball; Torino will not mind.
56%Possession44%
31%Territory31%
24%From set plays25%
0.18Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Milan, 5 for Torino.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 34 of 98 matches, not the full season.