Serie A · Matchweek 19
Udinese
UDI
Napoli
NAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Udinese18%
Draw23%
Napoli59%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.91
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.0%
- 1–110.4%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Udinese get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession57%
45%Territory37%
45%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Udinese, 4 for Napoli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Napoli
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.