Serie A · Matchweek 19
Torino
TOR
Atalanta
ATA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torino31%
Draw27%
Atalanta42%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.50
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Torino will have the ball; Atalanta will not mind.
56%Possession46%
36%Territory42%
12%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.3%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Torino, 3 for Atalanta. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.