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Serie A · Matchweek 19

Torino

TOR

Atalanta

ATA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Torino31%
Draw26%
Atalanta43%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.64

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atalanta will have the ball; Torino will not mind.

46%Possession55%
33%Territory42%
18%From set plays11%
0.10Chance quality0.16
5.3%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Torino, 4 for Atalanta.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 100 matches, not the full season.