Serie A · Matchweek 19
Parma
PAR
Venezia
VEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma38%
Draw31%
Venezia32%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.08
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–011.7%
- 0–111.1%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Parma get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession43%
36%Territory43%
34%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 5 for Venezia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Parma
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 98 matches, not the full season.