Serie A · Matchweek 19
Parma
PAR
Venezia
VEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Parma39%
Draw29%
Venezia32%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.19
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Venezia will have the ball; Parma will not mind.
41%Possession55%
27%Territory40%
27%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.1%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Parma, 3 for Venezia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.