Serie A · Matchweek 19
Monza
MON
Frosinone
FRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monza45%
Draw25%
Frosinone30%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.34
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monza will have the ball; Frosinone will not mind.
55%Possession45%
45%Territory44%
16%From set plays38%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monza, 3 for Frosinone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frosinone
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 40 matches, not the full season.